METHODICAL APPROACHES TO STATE POLICY FORECASTING OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE’S REGIONS

Abstract

Abstract. The model of long-term planning of sustainable regional development in the context of providing a effective state regional policy is developed in the article. The received model is simulated and it’s involves the coordination of macro and micro indicators of sustainable development. The GRP value is calculated with the forecasted values of these indicators, and then their equilibrium is estimated which is possible, as was noted above, on the basis of the Gini coefficient. This allows to receive an agreed forecast for all indicators. To ensure the effectiveness of the state policy influence on sustainable development is possible by systematizing the activity and formalization of the state regional policy and improving its organizational, legal and methodological support, in particular, correction of the defining and adjusting parameters of the sustainable development in the scale of separate regions and the state. Since the normatively fixed criteria for evaluating such a development differ significantly among themselves (applied for the quarterly and annual evaluation). The main stages of planning of regional development processes in the social and economic directions are specified. In view of them, information and analytical technology is built. The forecasting technology should provide a refinement of the system of indicators of the sustainable development of regions and expansion of those indicators that are necessary to describe the conditions of this development in relation to the state as a whole. In our view, the realization of this task should take place provided that the correlation analysis of the indicators is applied. The choice of a method of research of development of regional processes is proved. The adequacy of the model of long-term planning of sustainable regional development in Ukraine is estimated.The results received are the basis for working out of a complex of actions for indicative plans and monitoring of the development of the state regional policy.