Формування умов існування математичної моделі попередження надзвичайних ситуацій на територіях забруднених залишками ракетно-артилерійського ураження

Abstract

Purpose: to formation the conditions for the existence of a mathematical model for emergency prevention in areas contaminated by residues of rocket and artillery strikes through the selection of geometric dimensions for the site of comprehensive soil assessment. Design/Method/Approach (only for empirical papers): the study employs an approach combining mathematical modeling, stratified soil sampling, and the construction of a risk index assessment, taking into account the spatial structure of contamination and pollutant interactions. Findings: the study proposes the conditions for the existence of a mathematical model based on the selection of optimal geometric dimensions of the comprehensive soil assessment area (100×100 m horizontally and stratified layers up to 2 m deep). Formulas for hazard indices have been established, accounting for different types of pollutant interactions. Theoretical implications (if applicable): the results expand existing approaches to soil contamination risk assessment by integrating multilevel analysis of spatial distribution and pollutant interaction typology. Practical implications (if applicable): the results support the planning of monitoring activities, identification of priority areas for hazard assessment, and implementation of soil reclamation measures. Originality/Value: a novel approach is proposed for the mathematical description of threat propagation in the affected zone, considering both pollutant concentration profiles and their interactions. Research limitations/Future research: limitations relate to the accuracy of initial data concerning the type, quantity, and composition of pollutants. Future research is aimed at the development of a mathematical model for emergency prevention in areas contaminated by residues of rocket and artillery strikes. Paper type: theoretical.